Statistics from BNPB (2019) indicate that between 2010-2018 around 87% of all natural disasters in Indonesia were related to hydrometeorology. The region is primarily associated with high rainfall accumulation. However, rainfall intensity regularly fluctuates and seasonal droughts do occur (Bonal et al. 2016). In the Maritime Continent, droughts can be attributed to a narrower Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) during some periods (Xavier et al. 2020). There is also a strong connection between droughts and Indonesian fires with type of El Niño and phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole (Pan et al. 2018). According to Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG), about 92% of Indonesia experienced drought in 2019 due to the El Niño cycle that began at the end of 2018 (Indonesian Red Cross, 2019).



Meteorological drought is a condition in which rainfall has decreased compared to the average. Hydrological drought occurs when low water supply becomes evident. 

Different definitions which were applied to the rainfall data are described below.